Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 March 14, 2026
Málaga II

Málaga II

12
FT
Xerez

Xerez

We predicted

1-1 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Málaga II
Rank#18
Played26
Points14
PPG0.54
Goal Diff-25
L L L D D
Xerez
3#Rank
26Played
45Points
1.73PPG
7Goal Diff
W W L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.4%
7.46
1-0
12.3%
8.16
0-1
12.1%
8.27
0-0
11.1%
9.05
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.24
NO 55% · 1.8
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Málaga II 25% · 3.92
Draw 35% · 2.82
Xerez 39% · 2.56
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.65 Under 62% · 1.61
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.55 Under 35% · 2.83
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
18%
82%
Over 18% · 5.52 Under 82% · 1.22

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Málaga II Málaga II
L L L D D
Xerez Xerez
W W L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Málaga II
Stat
Xerez
1.11
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#18
League Pos.
#3
14 pts
Points
45 pts
0.54
Points / Game
1.73
-25
Goal Diff.
+7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Águilas Águilas
27 14 7 6 +15 49
2
Xerez Xerez A
27 14 6 7 +8 48
3
Ucam Murcia Ucam Murcia
26 13 6 7 +8 45
4
Recreativo Huelva Recreativo Huelva
27 12 9 6 +17 45
5
Deportiva Minera Deportiva Minera
26 13 5 8 +11 44
6
Extremadura 1924 Extremadura 1924
26 11 10 5 +9 43
7
Real Jaén Real Jaén
26 11 9 6 +6 42
8
Lorca Deportiva Lorca Deportiva
26 12 6 8 +3 42
9
La Unión Atlético La Unión Atlético
26 10 6 10 +1 36
10
Linares Deportivo Linares Deportivo
26 8 11 7 -6 35
11
Yeclano Yeclano
26 10 4 12 -2 34
12
Antoniano Antoniano
26 9 6 11 -3 33
13
Puente Genil Puente Genil
27 8 9 10 -7 33
14
Xerez Deportivo Xerez Deportivo
26 6 10 10 -4 28
15
Melilla Melilla
25 5 11 9 -2 26
16
Estepona Estepona
26 7 5 14 -11 26
17
Almería II Almería II
26 4 7 15 -17 19
18
Málaga II Málaga II H
27 3 5 19 -26 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record