Liga Nacional Liga Nacional March 23, 2026
Malacateco

Malacateco

11
FT
Aurora

Aurora

We predicted

1-0 34% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 23 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Malacateco
Rank#5
Played22
Points31
PPG1.41
Goal Diff-5
L L L L D
Aurora
4#Rank
22Played
39Points
1.77PPG
3Goal Diff
L L L D D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.2%
8.23
1-1
11.5%
8.68
2-0
10.2%
9.79
2-1
9.7%
10.33
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 2.01
NO 50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Malacateco 47% · 2.14
Draw 29% · 3.5
Aurora 25% · 4.04
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.05 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.81
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.72 Under 73% · 1.37

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Malacateco Malacateco
L L L L D
Aurora Aurora
L L L D D

Key Stats Comparison

Malacateco
Stat
Aurora
1.68
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#5
League Pos.
#4
31 pts
Points
39 pts
1.41
Points / Game
1.77
-5
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Malacateco
Draw
Aurora
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Municipal Municipal
22 14 6 2 +27 48
2
Mixco Mixco
22 14 2 6 +13 44
3
Antigua GFC Antigua GFC
22 13 3 6 +16 42
4
Aurora Aurora A
22 11 6 5 +3 39
5
Malacateco Malacateco H
22 10 1 11 -5 31
6
Xelajú Xelajú
22 8 4 10 +3 28
7
Achuapa Achuapa
22 6 7 9 -7 25
8
Mictlán Mictlán
22 6 6 10 -2 24
9
Cobán Imperial Cobán Imperial
22 6 5 11 -5 23
10
Marquense Marquense
22 6 5 11 -18 23
11
Guastatoya Guastatoya
22 6 4 12 -14 22
12
Comunicaciones Comunicaciones
22 5 5 12 -11 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record