UEFA Europa League
January 29, 2026
Lyon
4–2
FT
PAOK
We predicted
Lyon 4+
27% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, January 29 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Lyon 4+
|
Actual
4–2
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Lyon 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
27%
Most Likely Scores
Lyon 4+
15.6%
PAOK 4+
13.7%
2-2
7.3%
13.64
2-1
7.0%
14.39
Both Teams To Score
YES
78% · 1.28
NO
22% · 4.56
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lyon
42% · 2.4
Draw
20% · 4.98
PAOK
38% · 2.62
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25
Under 20% · 5.06
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
93%
Over 93% · 1.08
Under 7% · 13.93
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61
Under 38% · 2.64
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Key Stats Comparison
Lyon
Stat
PAOK
2.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.11
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lyon
H
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +13 | 21 |
| 2 |
Aston Villa
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 |
FC Midtjylland
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 5 |
FC Porto
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 6 |
SC Braga
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 7 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 |
AS Roma
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 9 |
Genk
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 16 |
| 10 |
Bologna
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +7 | 15 |
| 11 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +6 | 15 |
| 12 |
Ferencvarosi TC
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 15 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 14 |
Plzen
|
8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +5 | 14 |
| 15 |
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 16 |
Celta Vigo
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 13 |
| 17 |
PAOK
A
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 18 |
Lille
|
8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | +3 | 12 |
| 19 |
Fenerbahçe
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 20 |
Panathinaikos
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 21 |
Celtic
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 22 |
Ludogorets
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 10 |
| 23 |
Dinamo Zagreb
|
8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 10 |
| 24 |
Brann
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 25 |
BSC Young Boys
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 26 |
Sturm Graz
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 27 |
FCSB
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 28 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 29 |
Feyenoord
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 30 |
FC Basel 1893
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 31 |
Red Bull Salzburg
|
8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 6 |
| 32 |
Rangers
|
8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 4 |
| 33 |
Nice
|
8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -8 | 3 |
| 34 |
Utrecht
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -10 | 1 |
| 35 |
Malmo FF
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 1 |
| 36 |
Maccabi Tel Aviv
|
8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -20 | 1 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.