Ligue 1 Ligue 1 February 15, 2026
Lyon

Lyon

20
FT
Nice

Nice

We predicted

1-1 30% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 30%
Team Context
Lyon
Rank#3
Played21
Points42
PPG2.0
Goal Diff14
W W W W W
Nice
14#Rank
21Played
23Points
1.1PPG
-11Goal Diff
D D W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.3
1-0
11.6%
8.59
2-1
9.4%
10.6
2-0
9.1%
10.99
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.96
NO 49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lyon 50% · 2.02
Draw 25% · 3.95
Nice 25% · 3.98
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.37 Under 27% · 3.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8 Under 74% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lyon Lyon
W W W W W
Nice Nice
D D W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Lyon
Stat
Nice
1.56
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.04
#3
League Pos.
#14
42 pts
Points
23 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.1
+14
Goal Diff.
-11

Head to Head

Full H2H record
4 W
0 D
1 W
Lyon
Draw
Nice
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
26 19 3 4 +36 60
2
Lens Lens
27 19 2 6 +30 59
3
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
4
Lyon Lyon H
27 14 5 8 +12 47
5
Lille Lille
27 14 5 8 +8 47
6
Monaco Monaco
27 14 4 9 +9 46
7
Rennes Rennes
27 12 8 7 +6 44
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
27 11 7 9 +10 40
9
Toulouse Toulouse
27 10 7 10 +6 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
27 10 6 11 -5 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice A
27 7 6 14 -20 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record