Ligue 1
May 16, 2026
Lyon
19:00
VS
Lens
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, May 16 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Lyon
Rank#4
Played25
Points46
PPG1.84
Goal Diff13
D
L
L
W
W
Lens
2#Rank
25Played
56Points
2.24PPG
27Goal Diff
W
D
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.7%
7.88
1-0
10.0%
9.98
0-1
9.9%
10.14
2-1
8.2%
12.24
Both Teams To Score
YES
52% · 1.92
NO
48% · 2.08
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lyon
26% · 3.81
Draw
34% · 2.94
Lens
40% · 2.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.13
Under 53% · 1.89
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.38
Under 28% · 3.62
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 3.94
Under 75% · 1.34
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lyon
D
L
L
W
W
Lens
W
D
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Lyon
Stat
Lens
1.29
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.27
#4
League Pos.
#2
46 pts
Points
56 pts
1.84
Points / Game
2.24
+13
Goal Diff.
+27
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | +36 | 60 |
| 2 |
Lens
A
|
27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | +30 | 59 |
| 3 |
Marseille
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 4 |
Lyon
H
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Lille
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +8 | 47 |
| 6 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 7 |
Rennes
|
27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | +6 | 44 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 40 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | +6 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.