ScoresFooty
League One League One March 17, 2026
Luton

Luton

3–2
FT
Exeter City

Exeter City

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, March 17 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Luton
Rank#11
Played37
Points51
PPG1.38
Goal Diff2
W D L D D
Exeter City
18#Rank
37Played
42Points
1.14PPG
-7Goal Diff
L L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.58
2-0
11.7%
8.53
1-1
10.9%
9.18
Luton 4+
10.2%
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.14
NO 53% · 1.88
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Luton 56% · 1.79
Draw 34% · 2.96
Exeter City 10% · 9.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
48%
52%
Over 48% · 2.08 Under 52% · 1.93
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.36 Under 27% · 3.74
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.8 Under 74% · 1.36
View Full Predictions

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Luton Luton
W D L D D
Exeter City Exeter City
L L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Luton
Stat
Exeter City
1.78
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.83
#11
League Pos.
#18
51 pts
Points
42 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.14
+2
Goal Diff.
-7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
0 D
2 W
Luton
Draw
Exeter City
12 total goals
5 meetings

Last 3 Meetings

League One 17 Mar
League One 1 Jan
EFL Trophy 2 Dec 2025

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lincoln Lincoln
38 24 9 5 +37 81
2
Cardiff Cardiff
38 23 7 8 +32 76
3
Bolton Bolton
38 17 15 6 +17 66
4
Bradford Bradford
38 19 8 11 +6 65
5
Stockport County Stockport County
36 17 8 11 +3 59
6
Reading Reading
38 15 13 10 +7 58
7
Huddersfield Huddersfield
38 16 9 13 +10 57
8
Stevenage Stevenage
37 16 9 12 +2 57
9
Wycombe Wycombe
38 15 11 12 +14 56
10
Plymouth Plymouth
38 17 5 16 +4 56
11
Luton Luton H
38 15 9 14 +3 54
12
Barnsley Barnsley
36 13 11 12 +0 50
13
Peterborough Peterborough
37 15 4 18 +5 49
14
AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon
37 14 7 16 -6 49
15
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
36 11 13 12 +3 46
16
Leyton Orient Leyton Orient
37 13 6 18 -9 45
17
Doncaster Doncaster
37 12 8 17 -19 44
18
Burton Albion Burton Albion
38 11 10 17 -11 43
19
Exeter City Exeter City A
38 11 9 18 -8 42
20
Wigan Wigan
37 10 12 15 -12 42
21
Blackpool Blackpool
38 11 8 19 -17 41
22
Rotherham Rotherham
37 9 9 19 -20 36
23
Northampton Northampton
38 9 8 21 -20 35
24
Port Vale Port Vale
35 6 10 19 -21 28

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record