Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 14, 2026
Lugo

Lugo

04
FT
Real Madrid II

Real Madrid II

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Lugo
Rank#4
Played27
Points41
PPG1.52
Goal Diff4
D W D W D
Real Madrid II
11#Rank
27Played
39Points
1.44PPG
-2Goal Diff
D L D W D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.2%
7.07
1-1
12.4%
8.05
2-0
10.2%
9.77
0-0
9.8%
10.22
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.24
NO 55% · 1.81
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lugo 48% · 2.07
Draw 34% · 2.94
Real Madrid II 18% · 5.65
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.44 Under 59% · 1.7
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.48 Under 33% · 3.08
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.87 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lugo Lugo
D W D W D
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
D L D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Lugo
Stat
Real Madrid II
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#4
League Pos.
#11
41 pts
Points
39 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.44
+4
Goal Diff.
-2

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
2 W
Lugo
Draw
Real Madrid II
7 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
28 18 6 4 +32 60
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
28 14 8 6 +8 50
3
Barakaldo Barakaldo
28 11 10 7 +9 43
4
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
28 12 7 9 +0 43
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
27 10 12 5 +12 42
6
Zamora Zamora
28 11 9 8 +5 42
7
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II A
28 12 6 10 +2 42
8
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
28 12 5 11 +1 41
9
Lugo Lugo H
28 10 11 7 +0 41
10
Ponferradina Ponferradina
28 11 7 10 +5 40
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
28 11 7 10 -1 40
12
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
28 10 8 10 +1 38
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
27 10 4 13 -7 34
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
28 9 6 13 -8 33
15
Ourense CF Ourense CF
28 8 8 12 -2 32
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
28 8 7 13 -11 31
17
CF Talavera CF Talavera
28 8 6 14 -9 30
18
Cacereño Cacereño
28 6 11 11 -11 29
19
Arenteiro Arenteiro
28 6 7 15 -11 25
20
Osasuna II Osasuna II
28 5 9 14 -15 24

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record