Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Primera División RFEF - Group 1 March 22, 2026
Lugo

Lugo

11
FT
Arenas Getxo

Arenas Getxo

We predicted

1-0 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
Lugo
Rank#9
Played28
Points41
PPG1.46
Goal Diff0
L D W D W
Arenas Getxo
13#Rank
27Played
34Points
1.26PPG
-7Goal Diff
D W L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.7%
7.32
1-1
12.6%
7.93
2-0
9.7%
10.34
0-0
9.6%
10.37
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.19
NO 54% · 1.84
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lugo 47% · 2.13
Draw 34% · 2.92
Arenas Getxo 19% · 5.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
41%
59%
Over 41% · 2.41 Under 59% · 1.71
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.11
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.8 Under 79% · 1.26

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lugo Lugo
L D W D W
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo
D W L L L

Key Stats Comparison

Lugo
Stat
Arenas Getxo
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.92
#9
League Pos.
#13
41 pts
Points
34 pts
1.46
Points / Game
1.26
+0
Goal Diff.
-7

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Tenerife Tenerife
31 19 8 4 +33 65
2
Celta de Vigo II Celta de Vigo II
31 15 9 7 +5 54
3
Ponferradina Ponferradina
31 13 8 10 +10 47
4
Barakaldo Barakaldo
31 12 11 8 +8 47
5
Pontevedra Pontevedra
30 11 13 6 +13 46
6
Real Madrid II Real Madrid II
31 13 7 11 +5 46
7
Zamora Zamora
31 12 10 9 +5 46
8
Lugo Lugo H
31 11 12 8 +0 45
9
Unionistas de Salamanca Unionistas de Salamanca
31 12 8 11 +2 44
10
Athletic Club II Athletic Club II
31 12 8 11 -2 44
11
Mérida AD Mérida AD
31 12 8 11 -3 44
12
Racing Ferrol Racing Ferrol
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Arenas Getxo Arenas Getxo A
30 12 5 13 -5 41
14
Real Avilés Real Avilés
31 10 7 14 -8 37
15
CF Talavera CF Talavera
31 9 8 14 -8 35
16
Guadalajara Guadalajara
31 9 8 14 -11 35
17
Ourense CF Ourense CF
31 8 10 13 -3 34
18
Cacereño Cacereño
31 6 13 12 -12 31
19
Osasuna II Osasuna II
31 7 9 15 -14 30
20
Arenteiro Arenteiro
31 6 8 17 -14 26

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record