First League First League March 14, 2026
Ludogorets

Ludogorets

30
FT
CSKA Sofia

CSKA Sofia

We predicted

0-0 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-0
|
Actual 3–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Ludogorets
Rank#2
Played25
Points50
PPG2.0
Goal Diff28
W W D L W
CSKA Sofia
4#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
17Goal Diff
W W L W W
Most Likely Scores
0-0
21.4%
4.68
1-0
19.3%
5.19
0-1
13.7%
7.28
1-1
12.4%
8.08
Both Teams To Score
YES 28% · 3.55
NO 72% · 1.39
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Ludogorets 40% · 2.52
Draw 36% · 2.8
CSKA Sofia 25% · 4.05
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
20%
80%
Over 20% · 4.95 Under 80% · 1.25
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
93%
Over 7% · 14.06 Under 93% · 1.08

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ludogorets Ludogorets
W W D L W
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
W W L W W

Key Stats Comparison

Ludogorets
Stat
CSKA Sofia
0.9
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.64
#2
League Pos.
#4
50 pts
Points
46 pts
2.0
Points / Game
1.84
+28
Goal Diff.
+17

Head to Head

Full H2H record
3 W
2 D
0 W
Ludogorets
Draw
CSKA Sofia
9 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
26 20 2 4 +40 62
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets H
26 15 8 3 +31 53
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
26 15 5 6 +16 50
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia A
26 13 7 6 +14 46
5
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
26 11 10 5 +14 43
6
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
26 9 11 6 -5 38
7
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
26 9 8 9 +3 35
8
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
26 9 8 9 +2 35
9
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
26 8 10 8 -1 34
10
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
26 8 10 8 +3 34
11
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
26 8 6 12 -6 30
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
26 7 4 15 -14 25
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
26 4 11 11 -17 23
14
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
26 6 3 17 -31 21
15
Beroe Beroe
26 3 10 13 -22 19
16
Montana Montana
26 3 7 16 -27 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record