USL Championship USL Championship March 21, 2026
Louisville City

Louisville City

42
FT
Rhode Island

Rhode Island

We predicted

1-0 41% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 4–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 41%
Team Context
Louisville City
Rank#1
Played30
Points73
PPG2.43
Goal Diff37
L W D W W
Rhode Island
7#Rank
30Played
38Points
1.27PPG
0Goal Diff
L W W L D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.6%
6.02
1-1
12.3%
8.1
0-0
12.2%
8.18
2-0
11.3%
8.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 39% · 2.57
NO 61% · 1.64
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Louisville City 45% · 2.23
Draw 31% · 3.24
Rhode Island 24% · 4.12
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.85 Under 65% · 1.54
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.61 Under 38% · 2.64
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
16%
84%
Over 16% · 6.2 Under 84% · 1.19

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Louisville City Louisville City
L W D W W
Rhode Island Rhode Island
L W W L D

Key Stats Comparison

Louisville City
Stat
Rhode Island
1.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.74
#1
League Pos.
#7
73 pts
Points
38 pts
2.43
Points / Game
1.27
+37
Goal Diff.
+0

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record