Ligue 1
April 18, 2026
Lorient
15:00
VS
Marseille
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 18 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Lorient
Rank#10
Played25
Points34
PPG1.36
Goal Diff-4
D
D
D
W
L
Marseille
3#Rank
25Played
46Points
1.84PPG
19Goal Diff
W
W
L
D
L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.3%
8.83
2-1
8.7%
11.49
1-2
8.1%
12.33
1-0
7.9%
12.66
Both Teams To Score
YES
60% · 1.67
NO
40% · 2.48
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lorient
28% · 3.57
Draw
33% · 3.06
Marseille
39% · 2.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.76
Under 43% · 2.32
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.26
Under 20% · 4.9
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.9
Under 66% · 1.53
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lorient
D
D
D
W
L
Marseille
W
W
L
D
L
Key Stats Comparison
Lorient
Stat
Marseille
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.43
#10
League Pos.
#3
34 pts
Points
46 pts
1.36
Points / Game
1.84
-4
Goal Diff.
+19
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
1 D
4 W
Lorient
Draw
Marseille
18
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | +38 | 63 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | +27 | 59 |
| 3 |
Lille
|
28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 50 |
| 4 |
Marseille
A
|
27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | +19 | 49 |
| 5 |
Lyon
|
27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 47 |
| 6 |
Rennes
|
28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +7 | 47 |
| 7 |
Monaco
|
27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +9 | 46 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | +12 | 43 |
| 9 |
Toulouse
|
28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 10 |
Lorient
H
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Angers
|
27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 |
Paris FC
|
27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 |
Le Havre
|
27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 |
Nice
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -22 | 27 |
| 16 |
Auxerre
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 |
Nantes
|
26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 |
Metz
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -35 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.