Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
March 15, 2026
Lorca Deportiva
17:00
VS
Estepona
Predicted score
1-0
41% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
41%
Team Context
Lorca Deportiva
Rank#7
Played26
Points42
PPG1.62
Goal Diff3
W
L
W
D
W
Estepona
16#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-11Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.91
1-1
11.8%
8.47
2-0
11.4%
8.8
2-1
9.3%
10.8
Both Teams To Score
YES
44% · 2.27
NO
56% · 1.79
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lorca Deportiva
51% · 1.96
Draw
33% · 3.01
Estepona
16% · 6.38
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.35
Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.2
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.61
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lorca Deportiva
W
L
W
D
W
Estepona
W
L
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Lorca Deportiva
Stat
Estepona
1.57
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.82
#7
League Pos.
#16
42 pts
Points
26 pts
1.62
Points / Game
1.0
+3
Goal Diff.
-11
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
0 W
Lorca Deportiva
Draw
Estepona
4
total goals
1
meetings
Last 1 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Águilas
|
27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +15 | 49 |
| 2 |
Xerez
|
27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | +8 | 48 |
| 3 |
Ucam Murcia
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +8 | 45 |
| 4 |
Recreativo Huelva
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +17 | 45 |
| 5 |
Deportiva Minera
|
26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +11 | 44 |
| 6 |
Extremadura 1924
|
26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 43 |
| 7 |
Real Jaén
|
26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | +6 | 42 |
| 8 |
Lorca Deportiva
H
|
26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 42 |
| 9 |
La Unión Atlético
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Linares Deportivo
|
26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | -6 | 35 |
| 11 |
Yeclano
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 |
Antoniano
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puente Genil
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |
Xerez Deportivo
|
26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 |
Melilla
|
25 | 5 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 26 |
| 16 |
Estepona
A
|
26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | -11 | 26 |
| 17 |
Almería II
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -17 | 19 |
| 18 |
Málaga II
|
27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -26 | 14 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.