First League First League March 13, 2026
Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Lokomotiv Plovdiv

10
FT
Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia

We predicted

Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4+ 47% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 13 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4+
|
Actual 1–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 47%
Team Context
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Rank#6
Played25
Points35
PPG1.4
Goal Diff-6
L L D D D
Septemvri Sofia
14#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-27Goal Diff
L L W W L
Most Likely Scores
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4+
23.2%
2-0
15.6%
6.42
3-0
13.0%
7.69
1-0
12.5%
8.03
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.72
NO 63% · 1.58
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 62% · 1.6
Draw 22% · 4.5
Septemvri Sofia 15% · 6.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74 Under 43% · 2.35
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 5.01
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.88 Under 65% · 1.53

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
L L D D D
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
L L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Stat
Septemvri Sofia
2.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.51
#6
League Pos.
#14
35 pts
Points
21 pts
1.4
Points / Game
0.88
-6
Goal Diff.
-27

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
26 20 2 4 +40 62
2
Ludogorets Ludogorets
26 15 8 3 +31 53
3
CSKA 1948 CSKA 1948
26 15 5 6 +16 50
4
CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia
26 13 7 6 +14 46
5
Cherno More Varna Cherno More Varna
26 11 10 5 +14 43
6
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv H
26 9 11 6 -5 38
7
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
26 9 8 9 +3 35
8
Arda Kardzhali Arda Kardzhali
26 9 8 9 +2 35
9
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
26 8 10 8 -1 34
10
Lokomotiv Sofia Lokomotiv Sofia
25 7 10 8 +0 31
11
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
26 8 6 12 -6 30
12
Dobrudzha Dobrudzha
26 7 4 15 -14 25
13
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
26 4 11 11 -17 23
14
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia A
25 6 3 16 -28 21
15
Beroe Beroe
26 3 10 13 -22 19
16
Montana Montana
26 3 7 16 -27 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record