Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 22, 2026
Llerenense
16:00
VS
Badajoz
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Llerenense
Rank#10
Played26
Points35
PPG1.35
Goal Diff-2
L
D
L
W
L
Badajoz
3#Rank
26Played
47Points
1.81PPG
14Goal Diff
W
W
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.9%
7.73
1-0
12.1%
8.26
0-1
9.8%
10.24
0-0
9.1%
10.94
Both Teams To Score
YES
48% · 2.08
NO
52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Llerenense
29% · 3.4
Draw
34% · 2.9
Badajoz
36% · 2.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34
Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45
Under 31% · 3.22
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.56
Under 78% · 1.28
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Llerenense
L
D
L
W
L
Badajoz
W
W
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Llerenense
Stat
Badajoz
1.32
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.07
#10
League Pos.
#3
35 pts
Points
47 pts
1.35
Points / Game
1.81
-2
Goal Diff.
+14
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +36 | 54 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +19 | 50 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
A
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +18 | 45 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Villanovense
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |
Jerez
|
26 | 7 | 15 | 4 | +10 | 36 |
| 9 |
Villafranca
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Llerenense
H
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Montijo
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
26 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 |
Calamonte
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 |
Montehermoso
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 19 |
| 18 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -28 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.