Liga MX Liga MX February 22, 2026
Leon

Leon

21
FT
Santos Laguna

Santos Laguna

We predicted

1-1 24% confidence
View full match details Sunday, February 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 24%
Team Context
Leon
Rank#16
Played6
Points4
PPG0.67
Goal Diff-4
L L L D L
Santos Laguna
18#Rank
6Played
1Points
0.17PPG
-13Goal Diff
L L L D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.6%
7.94
1-0
11.6%
8.61
2-1
9.0%
11.17
0-1
8.9%
11.29
Both Teams To Score
YES 50% · 1.99
NO 50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Leon 45% · 2.24
Draw 27% · 3.77
Santos Laguna 29% · 3.48
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.19 Under 54% · 1.84
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.4 Under 29% · 3.49
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
24%
76%
Over 24% · 4.12 Under 76% · 1.32

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Leon Leon
L L L D L
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna
L L L D L

Key Stats Comparison

Leon
Stat
Santos Laguna
1.42
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#16
League Pos.
#18
4 pts
Points
1 pts
0.67
Points / Game
0.17
-4
Goal Diff.
-13

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Leon
Draw
Santos Laguna
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas
12 10 0 2 +14 30
2
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
13 8 3 2 +10 27
3
Toluca Toluca
13 7 5 1 +11 26
4
Pachuca Pachuca
13 7 4 2 +6 25
5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
12 6 5 1 +9 23
6
Club America Club America
13 5 3 5 +2 18
7
Atlas Atlas
13 5 3 5 -4 18
8
Tigres UANL Tigres UANL
13 5 2 6 +3 17
9
Necaxa Necaxa
13 5 1 7 -1 16
10
Leon Leon H
13 5 1 7 -9 16
11
Club Tijuana Club Tijuana
13 3 6 4 -1 15
12
FC Juarez FC Juarez
12 4 3 5 -2 15
13
Monterrey Monterrey
13 4 2 7 +2 14
14
Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis
13 4 2 7 -2 14
15
Puebla Puebla
13 3 4 6 -5 13
16
Club Queretaro Club Queretaro
12 2 5 5 -7 11
17
Mazatlán Mazatlán
13 3 2 8 -10 11
18
Santos Laguna Santos Laguna A
13 2 3 8 -16 9

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record