Ligue 1 Ligue 1 February 21, 2026
Lens

Lens

23
FT
Monaco

Monaco

We predicted

1-0 30% confidence
View full match details Saturday, February 21 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 30%
Team Context
Lens
Rank#1
Played22
Points52
PPG2.36
Goal Diff25
W W W L W
Monaco
8#Rank
22Played
31Points
1.41PPG
1Goal Diff
W D W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.1%
7.62
1-1
11.6%
8.61
2-0
10.8%
9.25
2-1
9.6%
10.46
Both Teams To Score
YES 47% · 2.11
NO 53% · 1.9
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lens 55% · 1.81
Draw 25% · 4.07
Monaco 20% · 4.97
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
46%
54%
Over 46% · 2.16 Under 54% · 1.86
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
72%
28%
Over 72% · 1.39 Under 28% · 3.55
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
25%
75%
Over 25% · 4.04 Under 75% · 1.33

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Lens Lens
W W W L W
Monaco Monaco
W D W D L

Key Stats Comparison

Lens
Stat
Monaco
1.65
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#1
League Pos.
#8
52 pts
Points
31 pts
2.36
Points / Game
1.41
+25
Goal Diff.
+1

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Lens
Draw
Monaco
21 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
27 20 3 4 +38 63
2
Lens Lens H
28 19 2 7 +27 59
3
Lille Lille
28 15 5 8 +11 50
4
Marseille Marseille
27 15 4 8 +19 49
5
Lyon Lyon
27 14 5 8 +12 47
6
Rennes Rennes
28 13 8 7 +7 47
7
Monaco Monaco A
27 14 4 9 +9 46
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
28 12 7 9 +12 43
9
Toulouse Toulouse
28 10 7 11 +4 37
10
Lorient Lorient
27 9 10 8 -4 37
11
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
28 10 6 12 -6 36
12
Angers Angers
27 9 5 13 -13 32
13
Paris FC Paris FC
27 7 10 10 -11 31
14
Le Havre Le Havre
27 6 9 12 -13 27
15
Nice Nice
28 7 6 15 -22 27
16
Auxerre Auxerre
27 5 7 15 -14 22
17
Nantes Nantes
26 4 5 17 -21 17
18
Metz Metz
27 3 5 19 -35 14

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record