Premier League Premier League May 17, 2026
Leeds

Leeds

14:00
VS
Brighton

Brighton

Predicted score

1-1 35% confidence
View full match details Sunday, May 17 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 35%
Team Context
Leeds
Rank#15
Played29
Points31
PPG1.07
Goal Diff-11
L L D D W
Brighton
14#Rank
29Played
37Points
1.28PPG
2Goal Diff
L W W L L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.1%
7.66
1-0
11.4%
8.79
0-1
10.5%
9.55
0-0
9.1%
10.95
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.06
NO 51% · 1.95
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Leeds 27% · 3.68
Draw 35% · 2.89
Brighton 38% · 2.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.33 Under 57% · 1.75
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.23
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.55 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Leeds Leeds
L L D D W
Brighton Brighton
L W W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Leeds
Stat
Brighton
1.25
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.15
#15
League Pos.
#14
31 pts
Points
37 pts
1.07
Points / Game
1.28
-11
Goal Diff.
+2

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal Arsenal
31 21 7 3 +39 70
2
Manchester City Manchester City
30 18 7 5 +32 61
3
Manchester United Manchester United
31 15 10 6 +13 55
4
Aston Villa Aston Villa
31 16 6 9 +5 54
5
Liverpool Liverpool
31 14 7 10 +8 49
6
Chelsea Chelsea
31 13 9 9 +15 48
7
Brentford Brentford
31 13 7 11 +4 46
8
Everton Everton
31 13 7 11 +2 46
9
Fulham Fulham
31 13 5 13 -1 44
10
Brighton Brighton A
31 11 10 10 +4 43
11
Sunderland Sunderland
31 11 10 10 -4 43
12
Newcastle Newcastle
31 12 6 13 -1 42
13
Bournemouth Bournemouth
31 9 15 7 -2 42
14
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
30 10 9 11 -2 39
15
Leeds Leeds H
31 7 12 12 -11 33
16
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
31 8 8 15 -12 32
17
Tottenham Tottenham
31 7 9 15 -10 30
18
West Ham West Ham
31 7 8 16 -21 29
19
Burnley Burnley
31 4 8 19 -28 20
20
Wolves Wolves
31 3 8 20 -30 17

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record