Ekstraklasa
March 21, 2026
Lechia Gdansk
16:30
VS
Pogon Szczecin
Predicted score
Lechia Gdansk 4+
37% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 21 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Lechia Gdansk
Rank#14
Played25
Points31
PPG1.24
Goal Diff2
L
W
D
L
W
Pogon Szczecin
8#Rank
25Played
34Points
1.36PPG
-3Goal Diff
W
L
W
W
W
Most Likely Scores
Lechia Gdansk 4+
12.1%
1-1
10.3%
9.73
2-1
9.8%
10.19
1-0
8.6%
11.6
Both Teams To Score
YES
59% · 1.69
NO
41% · 2.46
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Lechia Gdansk
36% · 2.75
Draw
31% · 3.18
Pogon Szczecin
32% · 3.1
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67
Under 40% · 2.49
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23
Under 19% · 5.4
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.68
Under 63% · 1.59
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lechia Gdansk
L
W
D
L
W
Pogon Szczecin
W
L
W
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Lechia Gdansk
Stat
Pogon Szczecin
1.91
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.19
#14
League Pos.
#8
31 pts
Points
34 pts
1.24
Points / Game
1.36
+2
Goal Diff.
-3
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Lechia Gdansk
Draw
Pogon Szczecin
20
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Jagiellonia
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +10 | 41 |
| 2 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +10 | 41 |
| 3 |
Lech Poznan
|
25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | +6 | 41 |
| 4 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | +4 | 38 |
| 5 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | +2 | 37 |
| 6 |
Motor Lublin
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 |
Wisla Plock
|
25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 |
GKS Katowice
|
25 | 11 | 3 | 11 | +1 | 36 |
| 9 |
Piast Gliwice
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 10 |
Pogon Szczecin
A
|
25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -3 | 34 |
| 11 |
Radomiak Radom
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 33 |
| 12 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 33 |
| 13 |
Korona Kielce
|
25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | +1 | 33 |
| 14 |
Lechia Gdansk
H
|
25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 31 |
| 15 |
Arka Gdynia
|
25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 |
Legia Warszawa
|
25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | -1 | 29 |
| 17 |
Widzew Łódź
|
25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -3 | 28 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -15 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.