Serie A
April 20, 2026
Lecce
18:45
VS
Fiorentina
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Monday, April 20 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Lecce
Rank#16
Played28
Points27
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-17
W
L
L
W
W
Fiorentina
17#Rank
28Played
25Points
0.89PPG
-12Goal Diff
D
L
W
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.2%
7.56
0-1
13.1%
7.66
1-0
10.7%
9.32
0-0
10.6%
9.44
Both Teams To Score
YES
45% · 2.22
NO
55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lecce
22% · 4.51
Draw
35% · 2.85
Fiorentina
43% · 2.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.57
Under 61% · 1.64
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
66%
34%
Over 66% · 1.52
Under 34% · 2.91
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.28
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lecce
W
L
L
W
W
Fiorentina
D
L
W
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Lecce
Stat
Fiorentina
1.01
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.23
#16
League Pos.
#17
27 pts
Points
25 pts
0.96
Points / Game
0.89
-17
Goal Diff.
-12
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Lecce
Draw
Fiorentina
17
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Inter
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | +42 | 69 |
| 2 |
AC Milan
|
30 | 18 | 9 | 3 | +24 | 63 |
| 3 |
Napoli
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | +16 | 62 |
| 4 |
Como
|
30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +31 | 57 |
| 5 |
Juventus
|
30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +23 | 54 |
| 6 |
AS Roma
|
30 | 17 | 3 | 10 | +17 | 54 |
| 7 |
Atalanta
|
30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 8 |
Lazio
|
30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | +3 | 43 |
| 9 |
Bologna
|
30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | +2 | 42 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -4 | 39 |
| 11 |
Udinese
|
30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |
Parma
|
30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 |
Genoa
|
30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | -19 | 33 |
| 15 |
Cagliari
|
30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | -11 | 30 |
| 16 |
Fiorentina
A
|
30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 |
Cremonese
|
30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 |
Lecce
H
|
30 | 7 | 6 | 17 | -19 | 27 |
| 19 |
Hellas Verona
|
30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -30 | 18 |
| 20 |
Pisa
|
30 | 2 | 12 | 16 | -31 | 18 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.