Ligue A Ligue A March 20, 2026
Le Messager Ngozi

Le Messager Ngozi

22
FT
Aigle Noir

Aigle Noir

We predicted

1-1 39% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 2–2

We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Le Messager Ngozi
Rank#13
Played26
Points26
PPG1.0
Goal Diff-5
W L L W L
Aigle Noir
1#Rank
26Played
64Points
2.46PPG
36Goal Diff
W D D D W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.3%
8.1
0-1
11.3%
8.83
1-2
9.2%
10.92
0-2
8.4%
11.89
Both Teams To Score
YES 51% · 1.95
NO 49% · 2.05
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Le Messager Ngozi 21% · 4.83
Draw 34% · 2.98
Aigle Noir 46% · 2.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11 Under 53% · 1.9
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
73%
27%
Over 73% · 1.38 Under 27% · 3.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
26%
74%
Over 26% · 3.89 Under 74% · 1.35

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi
W L L W L
Aigle Noir Aigle Noir
W D D D W

Key Stats Comparison

Le Messager Ngozi
Stat
Aigle Noir
1.09
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.48
#13
League Pos.
#1
26 pts
Points
64 pts
1.0
Points / Game
2.46
-5
Goal Diff.
+36

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
2 D
2 W
Le Messager Ngozi
Draw
Aigle Noir
15 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Aigle Noir Aigle Noir A
27 19 8 0 +36 65
2
Musongati Musongati
26 14 8 4 +17 50
3
Flambeau du Centre Flambeau du Centre
26 14 6 6 +13 48
4
Royal Vision Royal Vision
27 15 2 10 +15 47
5
Bumamuru Bumamuru
27 13 7 7 +20 46
6
Vital'O Vital'O
26 12 7 7 +16 43
7
Rukinzo Rukinzo
27 12 7 8 +15 43
8
Muzinga Muzinga
27 9 9 9 -5 36
9
Ngozi City Ngozi City
27 8 9 10 +2 33
10
Inter Star Inter Star
27 8 8 11 +0 32
11
Olympic Star Olympic Star
27 8 8 11 -4 32
12
Kayanza United Kayanza United
27 7 10 10 -7 31
13
Le Messager Ngozi Le Messager Ngozi H
27 6 9 12 -5 27
14
Dynamik Dynamik
27 7 5 15 -23 26
15
Garage Express Garage Express
26 3 9 14 -38 18
16
Green Farmers FC Green Farmers FC
27 1 4 22 -52 7

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record