Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
April 1, 2026
Lagun Onak
5–0
FT
Zamudio
We predicted
Lagun Onak 4+
42% confidence
View full match details
Wednesday, April 1 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Lagun Onak 4+
|
Actual
5–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Lagun Onak 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
Lagun Onak
Rank#4
Played28
Points49
PPG1.75
Goal Diff15
W
W
D
D
D
Zamudio
15#Rank
28Played
29Points
1.04PPG
-13Goal Diff
W
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Lagun Onak 4+
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
8.63
1-0
11.3%
8.87
2-1
9.9%
10.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.0
NO
50% · 2.0
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Lagun Onak
57% · 1.75
Draw
30% · 3.32
Zamudio
13% · 7.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
55%
45%
Over 55% · 1.81
Under 45% · 2.24
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.27
Under 21% · 4.66
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.04
Under 67% · 1.49
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Lagun Onak
W
W
D
D
D
Zamudio
W
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Lagun Onak
Stat
Zamudio
2.05
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#4
League Pos.
#15
49 pts
Points
29 pts
1.75
Points / Game
1.04
+15
Goal Diff.
-13
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
1 W
Lagun Onak
Draw
Zamudio
6
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Portugalete
|
29 | 22 | 5 | 2 | +42 | 71 |
| 2 |
Leioa
|
29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | +14 | 53 |
| 3 |
Touring
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 53 |
| 4 |
Lagun Onak
H
|
29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +20 | 52 |
| 5 |
San Ignacio
|
29 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +10 | 48 |
| 6 |
Derio
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +11 | 47 |
| 7 |
Aurrerá Vitoria
|
29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +3 | 47 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Alavés III
|
29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +13 | 44 |
| 9 |
Real Sociedad III
|
29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 |
Aretxabaleta
|
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |
Durango
|
29 | 9 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Santurtzi
|
29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Pasaia KE
|
29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 |
Añorga
|
29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | -22 | 30 |
| 15 |
Zamudio
A
|
29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | -18 | 29 |
| 16 |
Eibar III
|
29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 |
Zarautz
|
29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | -26 | 26 |
| 18 |
Deusto
|
29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | -18 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.