Campionato
March 14, 2026
La Fiorita
5–0
FT
Pennarossa
We predicted
La Fiorita 4+
42% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 14 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
La Fiorita 4+
|
Actual
5–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — La Fiorita 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
42%
Team Context
La Fiorita
Rank#4
Played24
Points48
PPG2.0
Goal Diff28
D
W
D
W
L
Pennarossa
12#Rank
24Played
21Points
0.88PPG
-23Goal Diff
L
D
L
L
D
Most Likely Scores
La Fiorita 4+
16.2%
2-1
9.9%
10.06
1-1
9.3%
10.8
2-0
9.1%
10.94
Both Teams To Score
YES
58% · 1.71
NO
42% · 2.41
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
La Fiorita
57% · 1.76
Draw
32% · 3.11
Pennarossa
11% · 9.03
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
62%
38%
Over 62% · 1.6
Under 38% · 2.66
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
83%
17%
Over 83% · 1.2
Under 17% · 5.95
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
40%
60%
Over 40% · 2.5
Under 60% · 1.67
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
La Fiorita
D
W
D
W
L
Pennarossa
L
D
L
L
D
Key Stats Comparison
La Fiorita
Stat
Pennarossa
2.15
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.09
#4
League Pos.
#12
48 pts
Points
21 pts
2.0
Points / Game
0.88
+28
Goal Diff.
-23
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
La Fiorita
Draw
Pennarossa
19
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Tre Fiori
|
25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | +43 | 62 |
| 2 |
Tre Penne
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +42 | 59 |
| 3 |
Virtus
|
25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | +38 | 59 |
| 4 |
La Fiorita
H
|
25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | +33 | 51 |
| 5 |
Folgore
|
25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | +27 | 48 |
| 6 |
Domagnano
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 7 | +25 | 42 |
| 7 |
Fiorentino
|
25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | -9 | 39 |
| 8 |
Cosmos
|
25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | +7 | 35 |
| 9 |
Libertas
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -18 | 31 |
| 10 |
Juvenes / Dogana
|
25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -4 | 31 |
| 11 |
San Giovanni
|
25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | -13 | 25 |
| 12 |
Pennarossa
A
|
25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -28 | 21 |
| 13 |
Faetano
|
25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -28 | 19 |
| 14 |
San Marino Academy
|
25 | 3 | 6 | 17 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 |
Cailungo
|
25 | 2 | 4 | 19 | -36 | 10 |
| 16 |
Murata
|
25 | 1 | 4 | 20 | -49 | 7 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.