Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 Tercera División RFEF - Group 16 March 15, 2026
La Calzada

La Calzada

14
FT
Arnedo

Arnedo

We predicted

1-1 37% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 1–4

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 37%
Team Context
La Calzada
Rank#11
Played25
Points27
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-9
D D L D W
Arnedo
3#Rank
25Played
47Points
1.88PPG
25Goal Diff
W W W D L
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.4%
8.8
1-2
8.9%
11.25
0-1
8.2%
12.18
2-1
7.9%
12.69
Both Teams To Score
YES 59% · 1.69
NO 41% · 2.45
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
La Calzada 24% · 4.11
Draw 33% · 3.06
Arnedo 43% · 2.33
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.77 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.82
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.94 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

La Calzada La Calzada
D D L D W
Arnedo Arnedo
W W W D L

Key Stats Comparison

La Calzada
Stat
Arnedo
1.38
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.56
#11
League Pos.
#3
27 pts
Points
47 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.88
-9
Goal Diff.
+25

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
UD Logroñés II UD Logroñés II
26 19 7 0 +49 64
2
Varea Varea
26 19 4 3 +24 61
3
Arnedo Arnedo A
26 14 8 4 +28 50
4
Anguiano Anguiano
26 14 7 5 +16 49
5
Oyonesa Oyonesa
26 14 4 8 +8 46
6
Calahorra Calahorra
26 12 9 5 +42 45
7
Agoncillo Agoncillo
26 11 6 9 +10 39
8
Haro Deportivo Haro Deportivo
26 11 5 10 +2 38
9
Yagüe Yagüe
26 9 9 8 +5 36
10
Vianés Vianés
26 8 7 11 -7 31
11
San Marcial San Marcial
26 8 6 12 -11 30
12
Berceo Berceo
26 7 7 11 -8 29
13
Comillas Comillas
26 8 4 14 -21 28
14
La Calzada La Calzada H
26 7 6 13 -12 27
15
Pradejón Pradejón
26 7 6 13 -12 27
16
Villegas Villegas
26 6 4 16 -30 22
17
Autol Autol
26 3 4 19 -43 13
18
Peña Balsamaiso Peña Balsamaiso
26 0 10 16 -40 10

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record