Premyer Liqa Premyer Liqa March 20, 2026
Kapaz

Kapaz

10
FT
Qarabag

Qarabag

We predicted

Qarabag 4+ 46% confidence
View full match details Friday, March 20 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Qarabag 4+
|
Actual 1–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 46%
Team Context
Kapaz
Rank#10
Played24
Points18
PPG0.75
Goal Diff-28
D D W L L
Qarabag
2#Rank
23Played
52Points
2.26PPG
31Goal Diff
W W D W W
Most Likely Scores
Qarabag 4+
17.0%
0-2
10.3%
9.74
1-2
9.9%
10.06
0-1
9.4%
10.64
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.82
NO 45% · 2.22
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Kapaz 13% · 7.46
Draw 30% · 3.37
Qarabag 57% · 1.76
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.65 Under 39% · 2.55
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.22 Under 18% · 5.6
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.61 Under 62% · 1.62

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Kapaz Kapaz
D D W L L
Qarabag Qarabag
W W D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Kapaz
Stat
Qarabag
0.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
2.19
#10
League Pos.
#2
18 pts
Points
52 pts
0.75
Points / Game
2.26
-28
Goal Diff.
+31

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Kapaz
Draw
Qarabag
7 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sabah FA Sabah FA
25 19 5 1 +43 62
2
Qarabag Qarabag A
24 16 4 4 +30 52
3
Turan Turan
25 14 6 5 +15 48
4
Zira Zira
25 11 9 5 +6 42
5
Araz Araz
25 11 6 8 -9 39
6
Neftchi Baku Neftchi Baku
24 9 10 5 +17 37
7
Sumqayıt Sumqayıt
25 9 5 11 -2 32
8
Şamaxı FK Şamaxı FK
25 7 9 9 -3 30
9
Imisli FK Imisli FK
25 4 10 11 -18 22
10
Kapaz Kapaz H
25 6 3 16 -27 21
11
Qabala Qabala
25 4 4 17 -19 16
12
Karvan Karvan
25 1 5 19 -33 8

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record