Eerste Divisie Eerste Divisie March 16, 2026
Jong AZ

Jong AZ

11
FT
MVV

MVV

We predicted

Jong AZ 4+ 44% confidence
View full match details Monday, March 16 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Jong AZ 4+
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 44%
Team Context
Jong AZ
Rank#18
Played31
Points30
PPG0.97
Goal Diff-10
L L L D W
MVV
15#Rank
31Played
35Points
1.13PPG
-22Goal Diff
W D D L L
Most Likely Scores
Jong AZ 4+
22.5%
2-1
9.1%
10.99
3-1
7.6%
13.16
1-1
7.3%
13.76
Both Teams To Score
YES 68% · 1.47
NO 32% · 3.12
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jong AZ 51% · 1.95
Draw 25% · 3.99
MVV 24% · 4.22
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.79
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
90%
Over 90% · 1.12 Under 10% · 9.59
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.88 Under 47% · 2.13

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jong AZ Jong AZ
L L L D W
MVV MVV
W D D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Jong AZ
Stat
MVV
2.5
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.35
#18
League Pos.
#15
30 pts
Points
35 pts
0.97
Points / Game
1.13
-10
Goal Diff.
-22

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
Jong AZ
Draw
MVV
17 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
32 24 2 6 +41 74
2
Cambuur Cambuur
31 21 7 3 +30 70
3
De Graafschap De Graafschap
31 15 7 9 +9 52
4
Willem II Willem II
31 14 8 9 +7 50
5
Jong PSV U21 Jong PSV U21
32 15 5 12 +6 50
6
Almere City FC Almere City FC
32 15 4 13 +13 49
7
Waalwijk Waalwijk
32 13 9 10 +7 48
8
Roda Roda
32 12 11 9 +3 47
9
Dordrecht Dordrecht
32 11 10 11 +0 43
10
Den Bosch Den Bosch
32 12 7 13 -2 43
11
FC Eindhoven FC Eindhoven
31 12 4 15 -10 40
12
VVV Venlo VVV Venlo
32 11 4 17 -10 37
13
Jong Utrecht Jong Utrecht
32 9 9 14 -6 36
14
Emmen Emmen
30 10 6 14 -8 36
15
MVV MVV A
32 9 9 14 -22 36
16
Vitesse Vitesse
32 12 9 11 +0 33
17
Helmond Sport Helmond Sport
32 9 6 17 -19 33
18
Jong Ajax Jong Ajax
32 8 8 16 -12 32
19
Jong AZ Jong AZ H
32 9 4 19 -10 31
20
FC OSS FC OSS
32 6 11 15 -17 29

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record