Serie D Serie D April 4, 2026
Joinville

Joinville

20
FT
São Luiz

São Luiz

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–0

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Joinville
Rank#3
Played14
Points21
PPG1.5
Goal Diff0
L D L L D
São Luiz
7#Rank
14Played
13Points
0.93PPG
-10Goal Diff
D L L W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
16.8%
5.95
0-0
14.0%
7.16
1-1
12.9%
7.78
0-1
10.7%
9.36
Both Teams To Score
YES 37% · 2.67
NO 63% · 1.6
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Joinville 48% · 2.09
Draw 38% · 2.63
São Luiz 14% · 7.09
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.18 Under 69% · 1.46
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.71 Under 41% · 2.41
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
86%
Over 14% · 7.29 Under 86% · 1.16

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Joinville Joinville
L D L L D
São Luiz São Luiz
D L L W L

Key Stats Comparison

Joinville
Stat
São Luiz
1.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.77
#3
League Pos.
#7
21 pts
Points
13 pts
1.5
Points / Game
0.93
+0
Goal Diff.
-10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
0 W
Joinville
Draw
São Luiz
2 total goals
1 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record