Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 April 4, 2026
Jerez

Jerez

22
FT
Santa Amalia

Santa Amalia

We predicted

Jerez 4+ 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Jerez 4+
|
Actual 2–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Jerez
Rank#9
Played28
Points37
PPG1.32
Goal Diff9
D L L W L
Santa Amalia
13#Rank
28Played
32Points
1.14PPG
-16Goal Diff
L L W L L
Most Likely Scores
Jerez 4+
15.5%
2-0
10.2%
9.85
2-1
10.0%
10.01
1-0
9.7%
10.35
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.82
NO 45% · 2.22
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jerez 52% · 1.93
Draw 26% · 3.82
Santa Amalia 22% · 4.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
59%
41%
Over 59% · 1.69 Under 41% · 2.46
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.23 Under 19% · 5.32
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.72 Under 63% · 1.58

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jerez Jerez
D L L W L
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia
L L W L L

Key Stats Comparison

Jerez
Stat
Santa Amalia
2.1
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.98
#9
League Pos.
#13
37 pts
Points
32 pts
1.32
Points / Game
1.14
+9
Goal Diff.
-16

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Don Benito Don Benito
28 17 7 4 +38 58
2
Moralo Moralo
29 16 9 5 +21 56
3
Badajoz Badajoz
28 17 5 6 +18 53
4
Azuaga Azuaga
28 15 7 6 +18 52
5
Jaraíz Jaraíz
28 14 9 5 +22 51
6
Cabeza Buey Cabeza Buey
29 12 12 5 +13 48
7
Villafranca Villafranca
29 13 6 10 +3 45
8
Villanovense Villanovense
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Jerez Jerez H
29 7 17 5 +9 38
10
Montijo Montijo
28 10 6 12 +1 36
11
Llerenense Llerenense
29 10 6 13 -6 36
12
Santa Amalia Santa Amalia A
29 9 6 14 -16 33
13
Puebla Calzada Puebla Calzada
29 7 12 11 -11 32
14
Gévora Gévora
29 6 8 15 -19 26
15
Diocesano Diocesano
28 5 9 14 -22 24
16
Atlético Pueblonuevo Atlético Pueblonuevo
28 6 5 17 -27 23
17
Calamonte Calamonte
28 3 11 14 -14 20
18
Montehermoso Montehermoso
28 4 8 17 -31 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record