Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 22, 2026
Jerez
16:00
VS
Azuaga
Predicted score
1-1
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Jerez
Rank#8
Played26
Points36
PPG1.38
Goal Diff10
L
W
L
D
D
Azuaga
4#Rank
26Played
46Points
1.77PPG
13Goal Diff
W
W
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.6%
8.59
1-0
10.0%
9.96
2-1
9.5%
10.55
2-0
8.2%
12.21
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.81
NO
45% · 2.23
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jerez
33% · 3.03
Draw
33% · 3.05
Azuaga
34% · 2.92
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.9
Under 47% · 2.11
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3
Under 23% · 4.28
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
30%
70%
Over 30% · 3.29
Under 70% · 1.44
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Jerez
L
W
L
D
D
Azuaga
W
W
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Jerez
Stat
Azuaga
1.63
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.16
#8
League Pos.
#4
36 pts
Points
46 pts
1.38
Points / Game
1.77
+10
Goal Diff.
+13
Head to Head
Full H2H record0 W
3 D
2 W
Jerez
Draw
Azuaga
13
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +36 | 54 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +19 | 50 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
A
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +18 | 45 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Villanovense
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |
Jerez
H
|
26 | 7 | 15 | 4 | +10 | 36 |
| 9 |
Villafranca
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Llerenense
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Montijo
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
26 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 |
Calamonte
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 |
Montehermoso
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 19 |
| 18 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -28 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.