Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
April 5, 2026
Jaraíz
17:30
VS
Montijo
Predicted score
1-0
38% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, April 5 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
38%
Team Context
Jaraíz
Rank#5
Played28
Points51
PPG1.82
Goal Diff22
W
W
L
W
W
Montijo
10#Rank
28Played
36Points
1.29PPG
1Goal Diff
W
L
D
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
12.1%
8.26
1-1
11.0%
9.1
2-0
10.8%
9.25
Jaraíz 4+
10.3%
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 2.01
NO
50% · 1.99
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Jaraíz
53% · 1.89
Draw
32% · 3.14
Montijo
15% · 6.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
50%
50%
Over 50% · 1.98
Under 50% · 2.02
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33
Under 25% · 4.0
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
28%
72%
Over 28% · 3.53
Under 72% · 1.39
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Jaraíz
W
W
L
W
W
Montijo
W
L
D
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Jaraíz
Stat
Montijo
1.79
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.91
#5
League Pos.
#10
51 pts
Points
36 pts
1.82
Points / Game
1.29
+22
Goal Diff.
+1
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
0 D
2 W
Jaraíz
Draw
Montijo
5
total goals
3
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | +38 | 58 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
29 | 16 | 9 | 5 | +21 | 56 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | +18 | 53 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +18 | 52 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
H
|
28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | +22 | 51 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | +13 | 48 |
| 7 |
Villafranca
|
29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | +3 | 45 |
| 8 |
Villanovense
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Jerez
|
29 | 7 | 17 | 5 | +9 | 38 |
| 10 |
Montijo
A
|
28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 |
Llerenense
|
29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 33 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
29 | 7 | 12 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 26 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
|
28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -22 | 24 |
| 16 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -27 | 23 |
| 17 |
Calamonte
|
28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -14 | 20 |
| 18 |
Montehermoso
|
28 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -31 | 20 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.