Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
March 22, 2026
Jaraíz
16:00
VS
Diocesano
Predicted score
Jaraíz 4+
43% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 22 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
43%
Team Context
Jaraíz
Rank#5
Played26
Points45
PPG1.73
Goal Diff18
L
W
W
D
D
Diocesano
15#Rank
25Played
21Points
0.84PPG
-19Goal Diff
D
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Jaraíz 4+
17.3%
2-0
11.7%
8.55
1-0
10.7%
9.38
2-1
9.8%
10.21
Both Teams To Score
YES
50% · 1.99
NO
50% · 2.01
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Jaraíz
61% · 1.64
Draw
31% · 3.2
Diocesano
8% · 12.77
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.24
Under 20% · 5.11
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.81
Under 64% · 1.55
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Jaraíz
L
W
W
D
D
Diocesano
D
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Jaraíz
Stat
Diocesano
2.2
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.84
#5
League Pos.
#15
45 pts
Points
21 pts
1.73
Points / Game
0.84
+18
Goal Diff.
-19
Head to Head
Full H2H record5 W
0 D
0 W
Jaraíz
Draw
Diocesano
19
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Don Benito
|
26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | +36 | 54 |
| 2 |
Moralo
|
26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | +19 | 50 |
| 3 |
Badajoz
|
26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 47 |
| 4 |
Azuaga
|
26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | +13 | 46 |
| 5 |
Jaraíz
H
|
26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | +18 | 45 |
| 6 |
Cabeza Buey
|
26 | 10 | 12 | 4 | +11 | 42 |
| 7 |
Villanovense
|
26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | +3 | 38 |
| 8 |
Jerez
|
26 | 7 | 15 | 4 | +10 | 36 |
| 9 |
Villafranca
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 36 |
| 10 |
Llerenense
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |
Montijo
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 |
Santa Amalia
|
26 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 |
Puebla Calzada
|
26 | 7 | 12 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 |
Gévora
|
26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 |
Diocesano
A
|
25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -19 | 21 |
| 16 |
Calamonte
|
26 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -13 | 19 |
| 17 |
Montehermoso
|
26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | -26 | 19 |
| 18 |
Atlético Pueblonuevo
|
25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -28 | 17 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.