Liga Premier Serie A Liga Premier Serie A March 15, 2026
Jaguares de Chiapas

Jaguares de Chiapas

13
FT
Tapachula

Tapachula

We predicted

Jaguares de Chiapas 4+ 34% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Jaguares de Chiapas 4+
|
Actual 1–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Jaguares de Chiapas
Rank#6
Played20
Points32
PPG1.6
Goal Diff5
L W W W L
Tapachula
7#Rank
20Played
31Points
1.55PPG
8Goal Diff
W L W L W
Most Likely Scores
Jaguares de Chiapas 4+
10.8%
1-1
10.4%
9.66
2-1
9.5%
10.55
1-0
7.8%
12.87
Both Teams To Score
YES 62% · 1.62
NO 38% · 2.62
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jaguares de Chiapas 47% · 2.11
Draw 32% · 3.15
Tapachula 21% · 4.81
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
61%
39%
Over 61% · 1.64 Under 39% · 2.57
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.21 Under 18% · 5.66
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
39%
61%
Over 39% · 2.58 Under 61% · 1.63

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jaguares de Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas
L W W W L
Tapachula Tapachula
W L W L W

Key Stats Comparison

Jaguares de Chiapas
Stat
Tapachula
1.83
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.33
#6
League Pos.
#7
32 pts
Points
31 pts
1.6
Points / Game
1.55
+5
Goal Diff.
+8

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Racing de Veracruz Racing de Veracruz
21 19 2 0 +39 64
1
Durango Durango
22 18 1 3 +46 64
1
Real Apodaca Real Apodaca
23 19 2 2 +27 60
2
Deportiva Venados Deportiva Venados
21 12 4 5 +28 43
2
Cimarrones Cimarrones
23 13 6 4 +22 46
2
FC Santiago FC Santiago
22 12 5 5 +11 42
3
Celaya Celaya
21 12 2 7 +14 41
3
Tigres de Alica Tigres de Alica
23 14 3 6 +17 46
3
Deportivo Zap Deportivo Zap
23 10 5 8 +14 40
4
Tecos Tecos
22 13 3 6 +15 44
4
Inter Playa del Carmen Inter Playa del Carmen
22 12 3 7 +3 38
4
Zacatepec 1948 Zacatepec 1948
23 10 8 5 +10 39
5
Gavilanes FC Matamoros Gavilanes FC Matamoros
22 9 5 8 +6 33
5
Tapachula Tapachula A
21 10 0 11 +10 35
5
Leones Negros Leones Negros
23 13 2 8 +12 43
6
Pioneros de Cancún Pioneros de Cancún
21 10 1 10 +1 33
6
Tritons Vallarta Tritons Vallarta
22 13 1 8 +4 40
6
Lobos ULMX Lobos ULMX
23 9 6 8 +5 33
7
Los Cabos United Los Cabos United
23 11 2 10 +1 36
7
Calor de San Pedro Calor de San Pedro
21 8 7 6 +2 32
7
Jaguares de Chiapas Jaguares de Chiapas H
21 9 2 10 +3 32
8
Correcaminos UAT II Correcaminos UAT II
23 8 6 9 +2 32
8
Mineros de Fresnillo Mineros de Fresnillo
23 10 3 10 -4 35
8
Montañeses Montañeses
21 10 2 9 +2 31
9
Guerreros Guerreros
22 7 5 10 -1 29
9
Chilpancingo Chilpancingo
23 7 8 8 -6 29
9
Héroes de Zaci Héroes de Zaci
20 8 2 10 -11 27
10
Sporting Canamy Sporting Canamy
22 5 8 9 -6 26
10
Ensenada Ensenada
23 8 2 13 -15 28
10
Chapulineros Chapulineros
21 5 6 10 -10 21
11
UA Zacatecas UA Zacatecas
22 6 4 12 -18 23
11
Cordobés Cordobés
23 7 5 11 -2 25
11
Cañoneros Marina Cañoneros Marina
20 6 1 13 -22 19
12
Zitacuaro Zitacuaro
22 5 9 8 -8 24
12
Reboceros La Piedad Reboceros La Piedad
22 6 1 15 -23 20
12
Neza Neza
21 5 2 14 -33 19
13
Acatlan Acatlan
22 4 1 17 -31 15
13
Mexicali FC Mexicali FC
21 3 3 15 -24 13
13
Ciervos Ciervos
23 4 4 15 -24 17
14
Colima Colima
22 3 2 17 -25 12
14
Atletico Hidalgo Atletico Hidalgo
23 4 4 15 -31 16

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record