Ekstraklasa Ekstraklasa March 14, 2026
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

12
FT
Piast Gliwice

Piast Gliwice

We predicted

Jagiellonia 4+ 40% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 14 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Jagiellonia 4+
|
Actual 1–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
Jagiellonia
Rank#2
Played23
Points38
PPG1.65
Goal Diff10
L D D D W
Piast Gliwice
14#Rank
24Played
29Points
1.21PPG
-4Goal Diff
L W L L W
Most Likely Scores
Jagiellonia 4+
13.3%
1-0
11.8%
8.49
2-0
11.6%
8.61
1-1
10.0%
9.99
Both Teams To Score
YES 49% · 2.03
NO 51% · 1.97
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Jagiellonia 56% · 1.78
Draw 31% · 3.26
Piast Gliwice 13% · 7.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
53%
47%
Over 53% · 1.87 Under 47% · 2.15
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.3 Under 23% · 4.38
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.22 Under 69% · 1.45

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
L D D D W
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
L W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Jagiellonia
Stat
Piast Gliwice
1.97
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.85
#2
League Pos.
#14
38 pts
Points
29 pts
1.65
Points / Game
1.21
+10
Goal Diff.
-4

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
3 D
1 W
Jagiellonia
Draw
Piast Gliwice
10 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin
25 11 8 6 +11 41
2
Jagiellonia Jagiellonia H
25 11 8 6 +10 41
3
Lech Poznan Lech Poznan
25 11 8 6 +6 41
4
Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze
25 11 5 9 +4 38
5
Raków Częstochowa Raków Częstochowa
25 11 4 10 +2 37
6
Wisla Plock Wisla Plock
25 9 9 7 +2 36
7
GKS Katowice GKS Katowice
25 11 3 11 +1 36
8
Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin
25 10 4 11 -3 34
9
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
25 8 10 7 -4 34
10
Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom
25 8 9 8 +4 33
11
Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow
25 8 9 8 +2 33
12
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce
25 9 6 10 +1 33
13
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice A
25 9 5 11 -3 32
14
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
25 10 6 9 +2 31
15
Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia
25 8 6 11 -16 30
16
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
25 6 11 8 -1 29
17
Widzew Łódź Widzew Łódź
25 8 4 13 -3 28
18
Nieciecza Nieciecza
25 5 7 13 -15 22

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record