Ekstraklasa
February 7, 2026
Jagiellonia
4–1
FT
Motor Lublin
We predicted
Jagiellonia 4+
32% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, February 7 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Jagiellonia 4+
|
Actual
4–1
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Jagiellonia 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
32%
Team Context
Jagiellonia
Rank#3
Played18
Points32
PPG1.78
Goal Diff10
W
D
L
D
W
Motor Lublin
11#Rank
19Played
24Points
1.26PPG
-4Goal Diff
W
D
L
D
W
Most Likely Scores
Jagiellonia 4+
20.0%
2-1
9.7%
10.29
2-0
8.7%
11.52
1-1
8.3%
12.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
61% · 1.64
NO
39% · 2.56
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jagiellonia
64% · 1.55
Draw
19% · 5.34
Motor Lublin
17% · 5.95
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
67%
33%
Over 67% · 1.49
Under 33% · 3.04
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
86%
Over 86% · 1.16
Under 14% · 7.14
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.21
Under 55% · 1.82
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
W
D
L
D
W
Motor Lublin
W
D
L
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Jagiellonia
Stat
Motor Lublin
2.36
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.12
#3
League Pos.
#11
32 pts
Points
24 pts
1.78
Points / Game
1.26
+10
Goal Diff.
-4
Head to Head
Full H2H record3 W
2 D
0 W
Jagiellonia
Draw
Motor Lublin
12
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 45 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
H
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +9 | 42 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 4 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 |
Wisla Plock
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 39 |
| 6 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |
GKS Katowice
|
27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |
Motor Lublin
A
|
27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 |
Korona Kielce
|
27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +2 | 36 |
| 11 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 36 |
| 12 |
Piast Gliwice
|
27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 35 |
| 13 |
Radomiak Radom
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | +2 | 34 |
| 14 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | -6 | 34 |
| 15 |
Legia Warszawa
|
27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | +1 | 33 |
| 16 |
Widzew Łódź
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 30 |
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | -17 | 25 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.