Ekstraklasa
April 4, 2026
Jagiellonia
0–0
FT
Lech Poznan
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, April 4 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
0–0
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Jagiellonia
Rank#3
Played26
Points41
PPG1.58
Goal Diff9
L
W
L
L
D
Lech Poznan
1#Rank
26Played
44Points
1.69PPG
9Goal Diff
W
W
L
W
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.23
2-1
8.7%
11.53
1-2
8.1%
12.3
Jagiellonia 4+
7.4%
Both Teams To Score
YES
62% · 1.61
NO
38% · 2.63
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Jagiellonia
28% · 3.56
Draw
32% · 3.09
Lech Poznan
40% · 2.53
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.67
Under 40% · 2.49
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
82%
18%
Over 82% · 1.23
Under 18% · 5.41
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
37%
63%
Over 37% · 2.67
Under 63% · 1.6
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Jagiellonia
L
W
L
L
D
Lech Poznan
W
W
L
W
W
Key Stats Comparison
Jagiellonia
Stat
Lech Poznan
1.6
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.5
#3
League Pos.
#1
41 pts
Points
44 pts
1.58
Points / Game
1.69
+9
Goal Diff.
+9
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
2 D
2 W
Jagiellonia
Draw
Lech Poznan
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lech Poznan
A
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +9 | 45 |
| 2 |
Jagiellonia
H
|
27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | +9 | 42 |
| 3 |
Gornik Zabrze
|
27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | +7 | 42 |
| 4 |
Zaglebie Lubin
|
26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | +10 | 41 |
| 5 |
Wisla Plock
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +2 | 39 |
| 6 |
Raków Częstochowa
|
27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |
GKS Katowice
|
27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |
Motor Lublin
|
26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 37 |
| 9 |
Korona Kielce
|
26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | +4 | 36 |
| 10 |
Cracovia Krakow
|
27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +0 | 36 |
| 11 |
Piast Gliwice
|
26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 |
Lechia Gdansk
|
26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | +3 | 34 |
| 13 |
Pogon Szczecin
|
26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 |
Radomiak Radom
|
26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 33 |
| 15 |
Legia Warszawa
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 |
Widzew Łódź
|
27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 30 |
| 17 |
Arka Gdynia
|
26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | -19 | 30 |
| 18 |
Nieciecza
|
26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -18 | 22 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.