UEFA Europa Conference League UEFA Europa Conference League February 19, 2026
Jagiellonia

Jagiellonia

03
FT
Fiorentina

Fiorentina

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Thursday, February 19 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 0–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Team Context
Jagiellonia
Rank#17
Played6
Points9
PPG1.5
Goal Diff1
D L W D D
Fiorentina
15#Rank
6Played
9Points
1.5PPG
3Goal Diff
L W L L W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
13.0%
7.7
1-0
12.0%
8.35
0-1
10.0%
10.03
0-0
9.2%
10.88
Both Teams To Score
YES 48% · 2.07
NO 52% · 1.93
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Jagiellonia 41% · 2.41
Draw 28% · 3.63
Fiorentina 31% · 3.23
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
43%
57%
Over 43% · 2.34 Under 57% · 1.74
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.21
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
22%
78%
Over 22% · 4.58 Under 78% · 1.28

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Jagiellonia Jagiellonia
D L W D D
Fiorentina Fiorentina
L W L L W

Key Stats Comparison

Jagiellonia
Stat
Fiorentina
1.3
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.08
#17
League Pos.
#15
9 pts
Points
9 pts
1.5
Points / Game
1.5
+1
Goal Diff.
+3

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
0 D
1 W
Jagiellonia
Draw
Fiorentina
9 total goals
2 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record