Sul-Matogrossense Sul-Matogrossense March 11, 2026
Ivinhema

Ivinhema

43
FT
Bataguassu

Bataguassu

We predicted

1-1 34% confidence
View full match details Wednesday, March 11 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–3

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 34%
Team Context
Ivinhema
Rank#1
Played9
Points19
PPG2.11
Goal Diff14
L W W W W
Bataguassu
#Rank
Played
Points
PPG
Goal Diff
Most Likely Scores
1-1
10.8%
9.23
Ivinhema 4+
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
10.19
1-0
9.6%
10.47
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.76
NO 43% · 2.31
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Ivinhema 46% · 2.18
Draw 28% · 3.59
Bataguassu 26% · 3.8
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.78 Under 44% · 2.29
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
79%
21%
Over 79% · 1.26 Under 21% · 4.81
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
34%
66%
Over 34% · 2.95 Under 66% · 1.51

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Ivinhema Ivinhema
L W W W W
Bataguassu Bataguassu
No form data available

Key Stats Comparison

Ivinhema
Stat
Bataguassu
1.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.14
#1
League Pos.
19 pts
Points
– pts
2.11
Points / Game
+14
Goal Diff.
+

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
0 D
1 W
Ivinhema
Draw
Bataguassu
13 total goals
3 meetings

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record