UEFA U21 Championship - Qualification
March 26, 2026
Italy U21
4–0
FT
North Macedonia U21
We predicted
Italy U21 4+
40% confidence
View full match details
Thursday, March 26 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
Italy U21 4+
|
Actual
4–0
Our model correctly predicted the outcome — Italy U21 4+ goals was spot on.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
40%
Team Context
Italy U21
Rank#1
Played10
Points24
PPG2.4
Goal Diff14
W
D
W
W
D
North Macedonia U21
5#Rank
10Played
9Points
0.9PPG
-7Goal Diff
L
W
L
L
L
Most Likely Scores
Italy U21 4+
17.0%
2-0
11.5%
8.7
1-0
10.5%
9.5
2-1
9.8%
10.16
Both Teams To Score
YES
51% · 1.96
NO
49% · 2.04
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Italy U21
60% · 1.65
Draw
31% · 3.18
North Macedonia U21
8% · 12.35
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
58%
42%
Over 58% · 1.72
Under 42% · 2.39
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
81%
19%
Over 81% · 1.24
Under 19% · 5.13
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
36%
64%
Over 36% · 2.8
Under 64% · 1.55
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Italy U21
W
D
W
W
D
North Macedonia U21
L
W
L
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Italy U21
Stat
North Macedonia U21
2.18
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.86
#1
League Pos.
#5
24 pts
Points
9 pts
2.4
Points / Game
0.9
+14
Goal Diff.
-7
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
0 D
0 W
Italy U21
Draw
North Macedonia U21
5
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.