Liga de Expansión MX Liga de Expansión MX April 4, 2026
Irapuato

Irapuato

31
FT
CA La Paz

CA La Paz

We predicted

Irapuato 4+ 43% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted Irapuato 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 43%
Team Context
Irapuato
Rank#4
Played14
Points23
PPG1.64
Goal Diff4
D W D L D
CA La Paz
10#Rank
14Played
17Points
1.21PPG
-5Goal Diff
L W D L D
Most Likely Scores
Irapuato 4+
21.0%
2-1
9.6%
10.43
2-0
8.2%
12.18
1-1
7.9%
12.59
Both Teams To Score
YES 63% · 1.6
NO 37% · 2.68
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Irapuato 43% · 2.34
Draw 29% · 3.44
CA La Paz 28% · 3.54
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
69%
31%
Over 69% · 1.45 Under 31% · 3.23
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
87%
Over 87% · 1.15 Under 13% · 7.75
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
47%
53%
Over 47% · 2.11 Under 53% · 1.9

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Irapuato Irapuato
D W D L D
CA La Paz CA La Paz
L W D L D

Key Stats Comparison

Irapuato
Stat
CA La Paz
2.41
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.17
#4
League Pos.
#10
23 pts
Points
17 pts
1.64
Points / Game
1.21
+4
Goal Diff.
-5

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
0 W
Irapuato
Draw
CA La Paz
8 total goals
2 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Atlante FC Atlante FC
14 9 3 2 +25 30
2
Cancún Cancún
14 9 3 2 +18 30
3
CDS Tampico Madero CDS Tampico Madero
14 8 6 0 +9 30
4
Irapuato Irapuato H
14 6 5 3 +4 23
5
Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas
14 5 6 3 +2 21
6
Leones Negros UDG Leones Negros UDG
14 6 3 5 +2 21
7
Monarcas Monarcas
14 5 4 5 -2 19
8
Tepatitlán Tepatitlán
14 4 6 4 +5 18
9
Venados FC Venados FC
14 5 3 6 -1 18
10
CA La Paz CA La Paz A
14 4 5 5 -5 17
11
Tapatío Tapatío
14 4 3 7 +2 15
12
Tlaxcala Tlaxcala
14 3 5 6 -13 14
13
Alebrijes de Oaxaca Alebrijes de Oaxaca
14 3 4 7 -9 13
14
Correcaminos Uat Correcaminos Uat
14 2 4 8 -19 10
15
Dorados Dorados
14 1 2 11 -18 5

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record