Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 March 15, 2026
Illescas

Illescas

21
FT
Marchamalo

Marchamalo

We predicted

1-0 36% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 2–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 36%
Team Context
Illescas
Rank#14
Played25
Points24
PPG0.96
Goal Diff-12
L D L L L
Marchamalo
10#Rank
25Played
30Points
1.2PPG
0Goal Diff
D L W W L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.1
1-1
13.5%
7.42
0-0
13.0%
7.68
0-1
12.5%
8.03
Both Teams To Score
YES 41% · 2.46
NO 59% · 1.69
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Illescas 41% · 2.45
Draw 36% · 2.76
Marchamalo 23% · 4.36
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
33%
67%
Over 33% · 3.0 Under 67% · 1.5
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
60%
40%
Over 60% · 1.65 Under 40% · 2.53
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
85%
Over 15% · 6.67 Under 85% · 1.18

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Illescas Illescas
L D L L L
Marchamalo Marchamalo
D L W W L

Key Stats Comparison

Illescas
Stat
Marchamalo
1.08
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.96
#14
League Pos.
#10
24 pts
Points
30 pts
0.96
Points / Game
1.2
-12
Goal Diff.
+0

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Toledo Toledo
26 16 8 2 +32 56
2
Calvo Sotelo Calvo Sotelo
26 16 7 3 +23 55
3
Tarancón Tarancón
26 15 7 4 +24 52
4
Albacete II Albacete II
26 14 9 3 +24 51
5
Manchego Manchego
26 15 4 7 +20 49
6
Villarrubia Villarrubia
26 12 6 8 +8 42
7
Villacañas Villacañas
26 11 8 7 +10 41
8
San Clemente San Clemente
26 10 9 7 -1 39
9
Guadalajara II Guadalajara II
26 9 7 10 -1 34
10
Huracán Balazote Huracán Balazote
26 9 3 14 -11 30
11
Villarrobledo Villarrobledo
26 7 9 10 -9 30
12
Marchamalo Marchamalo A
26 8 6 12 -1 30
13
La Solana La Solana
26 6 10 10 -7 28
14
Illescas Illescas H
26 6 9 11 -11 27
15
Azuqueca Azuqueca
26 4 10 12 -12 22
16
Pedroñeras Pedroñeras
26 3 11 12 -17 20
17
Cazalegas Cazalegas
26 3 6 17 -35 15
18
Sonseca Sonseca
26 2 7 17 -36 13

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record