Serie D - Girone I Serie D - Girone I March 29, 2026
Igea Virtus

Igea Virtus

32
FT
CastrumFavara

CastrumFavara

We predicted

1-0 38% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 29 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 3–2

We predicted the correct result direction (home win), though the exact score differed.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Igea Virtus
Rank#5
Played28
Points46
PPG1.64
Goal Diff18
L D D W D
CastrumFavara
15#Rank
28Played
27Points
0.96PPG
-15Goal Diff
W W D L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
13.2%
7.56
2-0
12.0%
8.33
Igea Virtus 4+
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
9.38
Both Teams To Score
YES 46% · 2.16
NO 54% · 1.86
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Igea Virtus 41% · 2.45
Draw 32% · 3.17
CastrumFavara 28% · 3.61
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.06 Under 51% · 1.95
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
74%
26%
Over 74% · 1.36 Under 26% · 3.79
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
27%
73%
Over 27% · 3.74 Under 73% · 1.36

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Igea Virtus Igea Virtus
L D D W D
CastrumFavara CastrumFavara
W W D L L

Key Stats Comparison

Igea Virtus
Stat
CastrumFavara
1.82
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.81
#5
League Pos.
#15
46 pts
Points
27 pts
1.64
Points / Game
0.96
+18
Goal Diff.
-15

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record