Championship Championship February 24, 2026
Hull City

Hull City

42
FT
Derby

Derby

We predicted

1-1 25% confidence
View full match details Tuesday, February 24 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-1
|
Actual 4–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

very_low confidence
Prediction Reliability 25%
Team Context
Hull City
Rank#5
Played32
Points54
PPG1.69
Goal Diff5
L L D W W
Derby
8#Rank
33Played
48Points
1.45PPG
6Goal Diff
L W L W D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.0%
8.3
0-1
10.0%
10.03
1-2
9.1%
10.98
1-0
8.0%
12.55
Both Teams To Score
YES 55% · 1.83
NO 45% · 2.21
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Hull City 30% · 3.29
Draw 25% · 3.94
Derby 44% · 2.26
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.96 Under 49% · 2.04
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
75%
25%
Over 75% · 1.33 Under 25% · 4.08
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.45 Under 71% · 1.41

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Hull City Hull City
L L D W W
Derby Derby
L W L W D

Key Stats Comparison

Hull City
Stat
Derby
1.21
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.51
#5
League Pos.
#8
54 pts
Points
48 pts
1.69
Points / Game
1.45
+5
Goal Diff.
+6

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
Hull City
Draw
Derby
16 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
39 24 8 7 +41 80
2
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
39 20 11 8 +22 71
3
Ipswich Ipswich
38 19 12 7 +28 69
4
Millwall Millwall
39 20 9 10 +9 69
5
Hull City Hull City H
39 20 6 13 +5 66
6
Southampton Southampton
39 17 12 10 +15 63
7
Wrexham Wrexham
39 17 12 10 +9 63
8
Derby Derby A
39 17 9 13 +8 60
9
Watford Watford
39 14 14 11 +4 56
10
Norwich Norwich
39 16 6 17 +6 54
11
Birmingham Birmingham
39 14 11 14 -1 53
12
QPR QPR
39 15 8 16 -6 53
13
Preston Preston
39 13 13 13 -4 52
14
Swansea Swansea
39 15 7 17 -5 52
15
Stoke City Stoke City
39 14 9 16 +3 51
16
Bristol City Bristol City
39 14 9 16 -1 51
17
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
39 15 5 19 +0 50
18
Charlton Charlton
39 12 12 15 -10 48
19
Blackburn Blackburn
39 11 10 18 -13 43
20
West Brom West Brom
39 11 10 18 -14 43
21
Portsmouth Portsmouth
38 10 10 18 -17 40
22
Leicester Leicester
39 11 12 16 -9 39
23
Oxford United Oxford United
39 9 12 18 -15 39
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
39 1 9 29 -55 -6

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record