Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 March 28, 2026
Huétor Tájar

Huétor Tájar

11
FT
Churriana Vega

Churriana Vega

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Saturday, March 28 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 1–1

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
Huétor Tájar
Rank#15
Played27
Points29
PPG1.07
Goal Diff-4
L L W W W
Churriana Vega
5#Rank
27Played
43Points
1.59PPG
-4Goal Diff
W L D W W
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.1%
7.09
1-1
12.3%
8.16
2-0
10.5%
9.52
0-0
9.5%
10.56
Both Teams To Score
YES 45% · 2.22
NO 55% · 1.82
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Huétor Tájar 35% · 2.85
Draw 34% · 2.96
Churriana Vega 31% · 3.21
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
42%
58%
Over 42% · 2.39 Under 58% · 1.72
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
68%
32%
Over 68% · 1.47 Under 32% · 3.15
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
21%
79%
Over 21% · 4.72 Under 79% · 1.27

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar
L L W W W
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega
W L D W W

Key Stats Comparison

Huétor Tájar
Stat
Churriana Vega
1.49
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.87
#15
League Pos.
#5
29 pts
Points
43 pts
1.07
Points / Game
1.59
-4
Goal Diff.
-4

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Motril Motril
29 15 10 4 +23 55
2
Mijas Las Lagunas Mijas Las Lagunas
29 16 7 6 +15 55
3
Arenas Armilla Arenas Armilla
29 14 8 7 +11 50
4
Torre del Mar Torre del Mar
29 13 11 5 +12 50
5
Churriana Vega Churriana Vega A
29 12 8 9 -7 44
6
Marbelli Marbelli
29 11 8 10 +5 41
7
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno Ciudad de Torredonjimeno
29 10 11 8 -1 41
8
Atlético Porcuna Atlético Porcuna
29 12 4 13 +5 40
9
Huétor Vega Huétor Vega
29 11 7 11 +1 40
10
Granada II Granada II
29 9 11 9 +2 38
11
UD San Pedro UD San Pedro
29 10 8 11 -2 38
12
UD Melilla II UD Melilla II
29 8 11 10 +0 35
13
Alhaurino Alhaurino
29 8 9 12 -6 33
14
Martos Martos
29 8 9 12 -7 33
15
Mancha Real Mancha Real
29 8 8 13 -7 32
16
Huétor Tájar Huétor Tájar H
29 8 10 12 -4 31
17
Torreperogil Torreperogil
29 7 6 16 -17 27
18
El Palo El Palo
29 5 8 16 -23 23

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record