Third NL - Jug Third NL - Jug April 4, 2026
HNK Zadar

HNK Zadar

31
FT
Hrvatski vitez

Hrvatski vitez

We predicted

HNK Zadar 4+ 56% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 4 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted HNK Zadar 4+
|
Actual 3–1

We predicted the correct result direction (home), though fewer than 4 goals were scored.

AI Match Predictions

medium confidence
Prediction Reliability 56%
Team Context
HNK Zadar
Rank#3
Played20
Points35
PPG1.75
Goal Diff20
L W D W W
Hrvatski vitez
13#Rank
20Played
23Points
1.15PPG
-12Goal Diff
W W W W D
Most Likely Scores
HNK Zadar 4+
27.0%
2-0
9.6%
10.41
2-1
9.2%
10.89
3-0
8.7%
11.53
Both Teams To Score
YES 57% · 1.74
NO 43% · 2.34
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
HNK Zadar 62% · 1.61
Draw 27% · 3.68
Hrvatski vitez 11% · 9.45
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
70%
30%
Over 70% · 1.42 Under 30% · 3.35
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
88%
Over 88% · 1.14 Under 12% · 8.18
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
49%
51%
Over 49% · 2.05 Under 51% · 1.95

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

HNK Zadar HNK Zadar
L W D W W
Hrvatski vitez Hrvatski vitez
W W W W D

Key Stats Comparison

HNK Zadar
Stat
Hrvatski vitez
2.71
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.95
#3
League Pos.
#13
35 pts
Points
23 pts
1.75
Points / Game
1.15
+20
Goal Diff.
-12

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record