HNL HNL March 15, 2026
HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka

02
FT
Istra 1961

Istra 1961

We predicted

1-0 39% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 15 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 1-0
|
Actual 0–2

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 39%
Team Context
HNK Rijeka
Rank#3
Played25
Points38
PPG1.52
Goal Diff12
W W L W D
Istra 1961
6#Rank
25Played
30Points
1.2PPG
-7Goal Diff
L L L L L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
15.4%
6.5
2-0
14.0%
7.17
HNK Rijeka 4+
10.8%
1-1
10.1%
9.9
Both Teams To Score
YES 40% · 2.49
NO 60% · 1.67
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
HNK Rijeka 57% · 1.75
Draw 31% · 3.2
Istra 1961 12% · 8.52
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
45%
55%
Over 45% · 2.24 Under 55% · 1.81
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
71%
29%
Over 71% · 1.42 Under 29% · 3.4
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
23%
77%
Over 23% · 4.28 Under 77% · 1.31

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
W W L W D
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
L L L L L

Key Stats Comparison

HNK Rijeka
Stat
Istra 1961
1.81
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.66
#3
League Pos.
#6
38 pts
Points
30 pts
1.52
Points / Game
1.2
+12
Goal Diff.
-7

Head to Head

Full H2H record
2 W
1 D
2 W
HNK Rijeka
Draw
Istra 1961
8 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
26 19 3 4 +41 60
2
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
26 15 5 6 +14 50
3
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka H
26 10 8 8 +10 38
4
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
26 10 7 9 -3 37
5
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
26 9 8 9 -5 35
6
Istra 1961 Istra 1961 A
26 9 6 11 -5 33
7
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
26 7 9 10 -9 30
8
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
26 7 7 12 -9 28
9
NK Osijek NK Osijek
26 5 9 12 -14 24
10
Vukovar Vukovar
26 4 8 14 -20 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record