HNL HNL March 22, 2026
HNK Gorica

HNK Gorica

40
FT
HNK Rijeka

HNK Rijeka

We predicted

0-1 40% confidence
View full match details Sunday, March 22 2026

Prediction vs. Reality

Predicted 0-1
|
Actual 4–0

This time the result didn't match our prediction — part of the unpredictability that makes football great.

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 40%
Team Context
HNK Gorica
Rank#8
Played26
Points28
PPG1.08
Goal Diff-9
D D L W D
HNK Rijeka
3#Rank
26Played
38Points
1.46PPG
10Goal Diff
L W W L W
Most Likely Scores
0-1
15.9%
6.28
0-0
15.5%
6.46
1-1
13.3%
7.5
1-0
13.0%
7.72
Both Teams To Score
YES 36% · 2.74
NO 64% · 1.57
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
HNK Gorica 21% · 4.69
Draw 37% · 2.69
HNK Rijeka 42% · 2.41
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.48 Under 71% · 1.4
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
56%
44%
Over 56% · 1.8 Under 44% · 2.25
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
88%
Over 12% · 8.37 Under 88% · 1.14

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

HNK Gorica HNK Gorica
D D L W D
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka
L W W L W

Key Stats Comparison

HNK Gorica
Stat
HNK Rijeka
0.84
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#8
League Pos.
#3
28 pts
Points
38 pts
1.08
Points / Game
1.46
-9
Goal Diff.
+10

Head to Head

Full H2H record
1 W
1 D
3 W
HNK Gorica
Draw
HNK Rijeka
12 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
27 20 3 4 +46 63
2
HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split
27 16 5 6 +20 53
3
HNK Rijeka HNK Rijeka A
27 10 8 9 +6 38
4
NK Varazdin NK Varazdin
27 10 7 10 -4 37
5
Istra 1961 Istra 1961
27 10 6 11 -4 36
6
NK Slaven Belupo NK Slaven Belupo
27 9 9 9 -5 36
7
HNK Gorica HNK Gorica H
27 8 7 12 -5 31
8
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
27 7 9 11 -14 30
9
NK Osijek NK Osijek
27 5 10 12 -14 25
10
Vukovar Vukovar
27 4 8 15 -26 20

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record