Primera División RFEF - Group 2
March 15, 2026
Hércules
17:15
VS
Real Murcia
Predicted score
1-0
37% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, March 15 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
37%
Team Context
Hércules
Rank#10
Played27
Points37
PPG1.37
Goal Diff0
D
W
D
L
D
Real Murcia
15#Rank
27Played
33Points
1.22PPG
-2Goal Diff
D
L
D
L
L
Most Likely Scores
1-0
14.5%
6.9
1-1
12.8%
7.81
0-0
10.8%
9.29
2-0
9.8%
10.24
Both Teams To Score
YES
43% · 2.31
NO
57% · 1.77
Likely: Clean sheet
Match Result
Hércules
47% · 2.15
Draw
35% · 2.88
Real Murcia
19% · 5.34
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
38%
62%
Over 38% · 2.6
Under 62% · 1.63
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
65%
35%
Over 65% · 1.53
Under 35% · 2.88
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
19%
81%
Over 19% · 5.38
Under 81% · 1.23
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Hércules
D
W
D
L
D
Real Murcia
D
L
D
L
L
Key Stats Comparison
Hércules
Stat
Real Murcia
1.35
Exp. Goals (xG)
0.88
#10
League Pos.
#15
37 pts
Points
33 pts
1.37
Points / Game
1.22
+0
Goal Diff.
-2
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
2 D
1 W
Hércules
Draw
Real Murcia
10
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sabadell
|
28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | +21 | 51 |
| 2 |
Europa Fc
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 47 |
| 3 |
Atlético Madrid II
|
27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |
Eldense
|
27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | +7 | 44 |
| 5 |
Teruel
|
27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 41 |
| 6 |
Villarreal II
|
27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | +12 | 40 |
| 7 |
Antequera
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 40 |
| 8 |
FC Cartagena
|
27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | -1 | 39 |
| 9 |
Ibiza
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 38 |
| 10 |
Hércules
H
|
27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | +0 | 37 |
| 11 |
Algeciras
|
27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 |
Alcorcon
|
27 | 8 | 12 | 7 | +1 | 36 |
| 13 |
Juventud Torremolinos
|
27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | -1 | 35 |
| 14 |
Tarazona
|
27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | -3 | 34 |
| 15 |
Gimnastic
|
28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -7 | 34 |
| 16 |
Real Murcia
A
|
27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | -2 | 33 |
| 17 |
Sanluqueño
|
27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | -13 | 27 |
| 18 |
Real Betis II
|
28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | -16 | 25 |
| 19 |
Marbella
|
27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | -15 | 22 |
| 20 |
Sevilla Atletico
|
27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | -14 | 21 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.