Eredivisie
March 20, 2026
Heracles
1–1
FT
Excelsior
We predicted
1-1
35% confidence
View full match details
Friday, March 20 2026
Correct prediction!
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
1–1
Our model correctly predicted the final scoreline.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
35%
Team Context
Heracles
Rank#18
Played26
Points18
PPG0.69
Goal Diff-33
D
L
L
L
L
Excelsior
15#Rank
26Played
26Points
1.0PPG
-17Goal Diff
L
L
L
L
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
12.1%
8.26
1-0
9.4%
10.62
2-1
8.8%
11.39
0-1
8.4%
11.98
Both Teams To Score
YES
55% · 1.81
NO
45% · 2.24
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Heracles
29% · 3.5
Draw
33% · 3.0
Excelsior
38% · 2.63
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
51%
49%
Over 51% · 1.94
Under 49% · 2.06
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
76%
24%
Over 76% · 1.32
Under 24% · 4.12
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
29%
71%
Over 29% · 3.42
Under 71% · 1.41
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Heracles
D
L
L
L
L
Excelsior
L
L
L
L
W
Key Stats Comparison
Heracles
Stat
Excelsior
1.45
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.29
#18
League Pos.
#15
18 pts
Points
26 pts
0.69
Points / Game
1.0
-33
Goal Diff.
-17
Head to Head
Full H2H record2 W
1 D
2 W
Heracles
Draw
Excelsior
16
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
A
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
H
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.