Eredivisie Eredivisie April 11, 2026
Heracles

Heracles

19:00
VS
Ajax

Ajax

Predicted score

Ajax 4+ 38% confidence
View full match details Saturday, April 11 2026

AI Match Predictions

low confidence
Prediction Reliability 38%
Team Context
Heracles
Rank#18
Played26
Points18
PPG0.69
Goal Diff-33
D L L L L
Ajax
5#Rank
26Played
44Points
1.69PPG
14Goal Diff
L D D W D
Most Likely Scores
Ajax 4+
11.0%
1-1
10.7%
9.37
1-2
9.8%
10.19
0-1
9.2%
10.85
Both Teams To Score
YES 58% · 1.74
NO 42% · 2.36
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Heracles 14% · 6.97
Draw 34% · 2.96
Ajax 52% · 1.93
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5 2.5 Goals Under 2.5
57%
43%
Over 57% · 1.74 Under 43% · 2.35
Over 1.5 1.5 Goals Under 1.5
80%
20%
Over 80% · 1.25 Under 20% · 4.99
Over 3.5 3.5 Goals Under 3.5
35%
65%
Over 35% · 2.86 Under 65% · 1.54

ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.

Recent Form

Heracles Heracles
D L L L L
Ajax Ajax
L D D W D

Key Stats Comparison

Heracles
Stat
Ajax
1.16
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.84
#18
League Pos.
#5
18 pts
Points
44 pts
0.69
Points / Game
1.69
-33
Goal Diff.
+14

Head to Head

Full H2H record
0 W
0 D
5 W
Heracles
Draw
Ajax
24 total goals
5 meetings

League Context

Full standings
# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
28 22 2 4 +41 68
2
Feyenoord Feyenoord
28 16 5 7 +21 53
3
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
28 14 8 6 +22 50
4
Ajax Ajax A
28 12 12 4 +18 48
5
Twente Twente
28 12 11 5 +17 47
6
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
28 12 6 10 +2 42
7
Utrecht Utrecht
28 11 8 9 +11 41
8
Heerenveen Heerenveen
28 11 8 9 +3 41
9
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
28 12 5 11 -12 41
10
Groningen Groningen
28 11 5 12 +3 38
11
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
28 10 5 13 -9 35
12
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
28 8 9 11 -15 33
13
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
28 7 11 10 +0 32
14
Telstar Telstar
28 6 9 13 -8 27
15
FC Volendam FC Volendam
28 7 6 15 -18 27
16
Excelsior Excelsior
28 7 6 15 -18 27
17
NAC Breda NAC Breda
28 5 8 15 -21 23
18
Heracles Heracles H
28 5 4 19 -37 19

Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

View our prediction accuracy record