Eredivisie
May 17, 2026
Heerenveen
12:30
VS
Ajax
Predicted score
1-1
36% confidence
View full match details
Sunday, May 17 2026
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
36%
Team Context
Heerenveen
Rank#8
Played26
Points37
PPG1.42
Goal Diff0
W
W
L
W
W
Ajax
5#Rank
26Played
44Points
1.69PPG
14Goal Diff
L
D
D
W
D
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.7%
8.53
1-0
9.0%
11.07
2-1
9.0%
11.09
0-1
7.6%
13.11
Both Teams To Score
YES
57% · 1.75
NO
43% · 2.33
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Heerenveen
40% · 2.52
Draw
29% · 3.45
Ajax
31% · 3.19
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.17
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.44
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
32%
68%
Over 32% · 3.17
Under 68% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Heerenveen
W
W
L
W
W
Ajax
L
D
D
W
D
Key Stats Comparison
Heerenveen
Stat
Ajax
1.54
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.3
#8
League Pos.
#5
37 pts
Points
44 pts
1.42
Points / Game
1.69
+0
Goal Diff.
+14
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
3 W
Heerenveen
Draw
Ajax
15
total goals
5
meetings
Last 3 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | +41 | 68 |
| 2 |
Feyenoord
|
28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | +21 | 53 |
| 3 |
NEC Nijmegen
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 |
Ajax
A
|
28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | +18 | 48 |
| 5 |
Twente
|
28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | +17 | 47 |
| 6 |
AZ Alkmaar
|
28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 7 |
Utrecht
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +11 | 41 |
| 8 |
Heerenveen
H
|
28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 9 |
Sparta Rotterdam
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 |
Groningen
|
28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | +3 | 38 |
| 11 |
Fortuna Sittard
|
28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 |
PEC Zwolle
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 |
GO Ahead Eagles
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +0 | 32 |
| 14 |
Telstar
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 |
FC Volendam
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 |
Excelsior
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 |
NAC Breda
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 |
Heracles
|
28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | -37 | 19 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.