Non League Premier - Southern Central
March 28, 2026
Harborough Town
2–2
FT
Bury Town
We predicted
1-1
39% confidence
View full match details
Saturday, March 28 2026
Prediction vs. Reality
Predicted
1-1
|
Actual
2–2
We predicted the correct result direction (draw), though the exact score differed.
AI Match Predictions
Prediction Reliability
39%
Team Context
Harborough Town
Rank#1
Played36
Points83
PPG2.31
Goal Diff41
D
W
W
D
W
Bury Town
13#Rank
36Played
49Points
1.36PPG
4Goal Diff
L
D
W
D
W
Most Likely Scores
1-1
11.0%
9.13
1-0
10.6%
9.43
Harborough Town 4+
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
10.12
Both Teams To Score
YES
54% · 1.86
NO
46% · 2.16
Likely: Both teams score
Match Result
Harborough Town
51% · 1.95
Draw
32% · 3.14
Bury Town
17% · 5.91
Over/Under Goals
Over 2.5
2.5 Goals
Under 2.5
54%
46%
Over 54% · 1.86
Under 46% · 2.16
Over 1.5
1.5 Goals
Under 1.5
77%
23%
Over 77% · 1.29
Under 23% · 4.43
Over 3.5
3.5 Goals
Under 3.5
31%
69%
Over 31% · 3.18
Under 69% · 1.46
ℹ️ Predictions are generated using Poisson distribution models based on recent team form (home/away splits), expected goals, and historical performance. Confidence scores reflect data quality and pattern clarity.
Recent Form
Harborough Town
D
W
W
D
W
Bury Town
L
D
W
D
W
Key Stats Comparison
Harborough Town
Stat
Bury Town
1.8
Exp. Goals (xG)
1.03
#1
League Pos.
#13
83 pts
Points
49 pts
2.31
Points / Game
1.36
+41
Goal Diff.
+4
Head to Head
Full H2H record1 W
1 D
0 W
Harborough Town
Draw
Bury Town
8
total goals
2
meetings
Last 2 Meetings
League Context
Full standings| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Harborough Town
H
|
39 | 27 | 9 | 3 | +46 | 90 |
| 2 |
Spalding United
|
39 | 25 | 8 | 6 | +51 | 83 |
| 3 |
Real Bedford
|
38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | +32 | 72 |
| 4 |
Halesowen Town
|
39 | 19 | 9 | 11 | +22 | 66 |
| 5 |
Redditch United
|
38 | 20 | 5 | 13 | +7 | 65 |
| 6 |
Kettering Town
|
38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | +20 | 64 |
| 7 |
Quorn
|
39 | 19 | 7 | 13 | +13 | 64 |
| 8 |
Needham Market
|
38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | +11 | 63 |
| 9 |
Worcester City
|
39 | 17 | 10 | 12 | +21 | 61 |
| 10 |
Stratford Town
|
39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | +6 | 57 |
| 11 |
Leiston
|
38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | +5 | 55 |
| 12 |
Bury Town
A
|
39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | +6 | 54 |
| 13 |
Banbury United
|
38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | -5 | 53 |
| 14 |
Bishop's Stortford
|
39 | 13 | 8 | 18 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 |
Alvechurch
|
39 | 13 | 7 | 19 | -6 | 46 |
| 16 |
Stourbridge
|
38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | -14 | 43 |
| 17 |
Stamford
|
38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | -30 | 39 |
| 18 |
St Ives Town
|
39 | 9 | 10 | 20 | -21 | 37 |
| 19 |
Bromsgrove Sporting
|
39 | 10 | 8 | 21 | -22 | 38 |
| 20 |
Barwell
|
39 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -31 | 32 |
| 21 |
Royston Town
|
39 | 5 | 10 | 24 | -42 | 25 |
| 22 |
AFC Sudbury
|
39 | 6 | 7 | 26 | -57 | 25 |
Prediction Disclaimer: These predictions are generated using statistical models based on historical form, expected goals, and league standings. They are intended for informational and entertainment purposes only and do not constitute betting advice. Football is inherently unpredictable — past performance is not a guarantee of future results.